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Synchronous failure: the emerging causal architecture of global crisis

Homer-Dixon, Thomas ; Walker, Brian ; Biggs, Reinette ; Crépin, Anne-Sophie ; Folke, Carl ; Lambin, Eric F. ; Peterson, Garry D. ; Rockström, Johan ; Scheffer, Marten ; Steffen, Will ; Troell, Max

Ecology and society, 2015-01, Vol.20 (3), p.6, Article art6 [同儕審閱期刊]

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題名:
Synchronous failure: the emerging causal architecture of global crisis
著者: Homer-Dixon, Thomas ; Walker, Brian ; Biggs, Reinette ; Crépin, Anne-Sophie ; Folke, Carl ; Lambin, Eric F. ; Peterson, Garry D. ; Rockström, Johan ; Scheffer, Marten ; Steffen, Will ; Troell, Max
主題: Climate change ; Combined stress ; Connectivity ; Conventional oil ; Ecological economics ; Ecological sustainability ; Economic systems ; Financial system ; Food systems ; Global crises ; global crisis ; Grain supply ; Human ecology ; Social-ecological system ; Sustainable agriculture ; Synthesis ; URLs
所屬期刊: Ecology and society, 2015-01, Vol.20 (3), p.6, Article art6
描述: Recent global crises reveal an emerging pattern of causation that could increasingly characterize the birth and progress of future global crises. A conceptual framework identifies this pattern’s deep causes, intermediate processes, and ultimate outcomes. The framework shows how multiple stresses can interact within a single social-ecological system to cause a shift in that system’s behavior, how simultaneous shifts of this kind in several largely discrete social-ecological systems can interact to cause a far larger intersystemic crisis, and how such a larger crisis can then rapidly propagate across multiple system boundaries to the global scale. Case studies of the 2008-2009 financial-energy and food-energy crises illustrate the framework. Suggestions are offered for future research to explore further the framework’s propositions.
出版者: Resilience Alliance
語言: 英文
識別號: ISSN: 1708-3087
EISSN: 1708-3087
DOI: 10.5751/ES-07681-200306
資源來源: DOAJ Directory of Open Access Journals
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Synchronous failure: the emerging causal architecture of global crisis

Homer-Dixon, Thomas ; Walker, Brian ; Biggs, Reinette ; Crépin, Anne-Sophie ; Folke, Carl ; Lambin, Eric F. ; Peterson, Garry D. ; Rockström, Johan ; Scheffer, Marten ; Steffen, Will ; Troell, Max

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